Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1064.924388 1199.493650 1346.060979 1517.796842 1713.820965 1930.952852 2190.184300
2026-02-08 857.972024 1040.898617 1256.891985 1531.821404 1873.988404 2287.783620 2829.087226
2026-02-15 742.684770 947.604286 1203.278860 1547.891900 2003.554718 2589.986647 3409.227648
2026-02-22 667.093525 886.548087 1172.893057 1577.392113 2139.712767 2902.022048 4027.730403
2026-03-01 586.643444 806.363995 1103.916932 1541.094729 2175.076644 3073.371824 4464.606440
2026-03-08 518.092570 733.265676 1034.241533 1491.933982 2180.860011 3196.067814 4836.850868
2026-03-15 461.673159 670.685152 971.631484 1443.682409 2178.601155 3301.001594 5187.423698
2026-03-22 438.229442 653.266494 971.907008 1487.399044 2317.565578 3631.990527 5930.745432
2026-03-29 411.841186 628.478208 957.989928 1506.360158 2417.393758 3908.801577 6615.496190
2026-04-05 386.645402 602.959923 940.058140 1516.045421 2501.282912 4165.675728 7294.291362
2026-04-12 364.187950 579.623639 923.107592 1524.832609 2583.027251 4425.164488 8006.780234
2026-04-19 349.276334 567.094329 922.252463 1559.929553 2712.578700 4780.046786 8938.019542
2026-04-26 332.799412 551.067593 914.927303 1584.366837 2827.993460 5126.415672 9908.996297
2026-05-03 315.843589 532.881029 902.422531 1598.420568 2925.924560 5451.500109 10883.980685
2026-05-10 300.941715 516.938367 892.255428 1615.274659 3029.984739 5798.447806 11949.892479
2026-05-17 289.453682 506.033283 889.948138 1646.185060 3163.785814 6218.090998 13228.766629
2026-05-24 269.164777 477.645466 853.528497 1608.152437 3155.684545 6346.326176 13878.687610
2026-05-31 248.912169 447.842266 812.181006 1556.647858 3114.470475 6399.637629 14362.644388
2026-06-07 230.547526 420.287582 773.039092 1506.103119 3070.073964 6440.714598 14822.414432
2026-06-14 225.438488 417.485188 780.991334 1551.897084 3235.499439 6960.810027 16517.209066
2026-06-21 217.581988 408.787779 776.721181 1571.761059 3346.043217 7369.291693 17994.399793
2026-06-28 209.174157 398.401853 768.279285 1581.907928 3435.633878 7738.984771 19427.128548
2026-07-05 201.227725 388.375940 759.791755 1591.114169 3523.804204 8115.016293 20934.328344